US Should Force Russian Concessions

For any lasting peace in Ukraine, it's crucial that the United States negotiates broader regional concessions with Russia. A specific area of focus should be Russia's relationship with Iran. Given Iran's activities in the Middle East and its role in proliferating arms, especially in destabilizing regions, Russia’s support or ties with Iran pose a significant threat to regional and global security. Thus, a peace deal could be an opportunity for the U.S. to seek commitments from Russia to limit or entirely embargo its military and technological exchanges with Iran.

An embargo on ties between Russia and Iran would signal a commitment to reducing threats posed by Iran’s regional influence, including its support of proxy groups. By making this an integral part of any peace agreement, the U.S. could work toward stabilizing Ukraine, while simultaneously addressing wider security concerns. This could include sanctions or diplomatic measures to enforce such an embargo. Ultimately, achieving a sustainable peace in Ukraine requires not only addressing immediate territorial issues but also the broader geopolitical context in which Russia’s foreign relations play a destabilizing role.

The United States can play a significant role in deterring any potential move by China to assert control over Siberia and its vast resources. China’s economic and strategic ambitions have already been demonstrated in its approach to Taiwan and the South China Sea. These examples suggest that if China views an opportunity to expand its influence or gain control over resource-rich regions, it will pursue it.

Furthermore, intelligence sources report that China harbors ambitions for Siberia’s resources. On this point the U.S can promote our ability to counterbalance the CCP's ambitions through a combination of military alliances, economic strategies, intelligence-sharing, and a strong international stance on territorial sovereignty. By keeping China’s potential expansion in check, the U.S. can help maintain the balance of power in Asia and protect the stability of resource-rich regions like Siberia.

To deter a potential Chinese takeover of Siberia, the United States could focus on several strategies:

Strengthening Russian Sovereignty and Defense Capacity: The U.S. could work to stabilize Russia’s sovereignty over its eastern territories by encouraging regional defense initiatives or providing indirect support to ensure Russia maintains sufficient defensive capabilities in Siberia. A stable and secure Russia would serve as a buffer to Chinese expansion and make it more challenging for China to extend its influence or exert control over Siberian resources.

Building a Unified International Stance on Territorial Integrity: The United States could lead a coalition of allies to support the principle of territorial integrity, reinforcing norms against aggressive territorial expansion. By drawing parallels to China's actions in the South China Sea and Taiwan, the U.S. could galvanize international support against any potential Chinese expansion into Russian territories. This would make any attempts to seize control over Siberia highly costly diplomatically and economically.

Strategic Partnerships with India: India, a close ally of Russia and a significant Asian power with complex relations with China, could be a key partner in countering Chinese expansionism. By deepening defense and economic ties with India, the U.S. can help establish a counterbalance to China’s influence in Asia. A stronger India could discourage China from expanding northward, as it would face a formidable coalition of regional players unified with Western powers.